Conditional Risk For Severe Weather Later Today and Tonight

If conditions provide atmospheric instability, then the possibility of severe weather is greater later this afternoon and tonight.  While there is a possibility of all modes of severe weather, the good news is that it appears that it will be limited in the Ozarks.

The Storm Prediction Center has most of MO, KS, OK and NW AR in a slight risk box for severe weather, and part of S KS and a good part of OK in a moderate risk box.  They list the tornado probability in much of the Ozarks at 5%, however, the Joplin area is in a 10% hatched area for stronger tornadoes.

The National Weather Service in Springfield, MO lists the threats as:

• Limited tornado risk
• Limited non thunderstorm wind risk
• Significant lightning risk
• Elevated hail risk
• Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk
• Limited flooding risk

You should stay tuned to local weather forecasts. Make sure your NOAA All Hazards Radio is on and backed up by battery. If you don't own a NOAA All Hazards Radio, you should. Click the link for a previous blog post on selecting one.

Springfield, MO NWS - Hazardous Weather Outlook

Storm Prediction Center - Convective Outlook (Today)

Storm Prediction Center - Convective Outlook (Tomorrow)